Thursday night’s WNBA slate features the Indiana Fever hosting the New York Liberty at 7:00 PM ET on Prime Video. While the Liberty made a deep playoff run last season, the Fever’s young stars, Caitlin Clark and NaLyssa Smith, could surprise us with unexpected performances.
If you’re seeking a contrarian perspective on the player prop market, we have three unconventional leans worth considering for Thursday, May 16th!
WNBA Player Props Today – Thursday, May 16, 2024
Caitlin Clark Over/Under 20.5 Points
Caitlin Clark Over/Under 3.5 Rebounds
NaLyssa Smith Over/Under 14.5 Points
Caitlin Clark Over/Under 20.5 Points
While Clark’s scoring prowess in college is undeniable, her transition to the WNBA has been challenging. However, it’s worth considering that she may be due for a breakout performance. Despite her inefficient shooting in the season opener, she still managed to score 20 points, which is no small feat for a rookie facing elite competition.
Clark’s ability to draw fouls and convert from the free-throw line could be a significant factor in her scoring output. Additionally, as she adjusts to the pace and physicality of the WNBA, her efficiency may improve, leading to a potential scoring outburst.
PICK: Clark OVER 20.5 Points (+105), FanDuel
Caitlin Clark Over/Under 3.5 Rebounds
While Clark’s rebounding numbers have been underwhelming thus far, it’s important to consider the small sample size and the potential for improvement. As a talented and versatile player, Clark’s ability to crash the boards and contribute on the glass should not be discounted.
The Fever’s coaching staff may emphasize her involvement on the boards, particularly in a matchup against a formidable rebounding team like the Liberty. Clark’s competitiveness and desire to impact the game in multiple facets could lead to a surprising rebounding performance.
PICK: Clark OVER 3.5 Rebounds (+120), DraftKings
NaLyssa Smith Over/Under 14.5 Points
Smith’s scoring output in the season opener may have been a bit disappointing, but her shot attempts and usage rate suggest a potential breakout game. As one of the Fever’s primary scoring options, Smith’s role in the offense is undeniable.
With Kelsey Mitchell potentially still on a minutes restriction, Smith could see an increased offensive burden, leading to more scoring opportunities. Additionally, playing at home and the potential for a competitive game could fuel Smith’s aggression and scoring production.
PICK: Smith OVER 14.5 Points (-105), FanDuel
WNBA 2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 1-1
Rebounds: 0-1
Assists: 0-0
Combined Record: 1-2 (33.3%)